Tricon Reports Q3 2023 Results as Strong Property Fundamentals Continue

tricon-reports-q3-2023-results-as-strong-property-fundamentals-continue

TORONTO–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Tricon Residential Inc. (NYSE: TCN, TSX: TCN) (“Tricon” or the “Company”), an owner and operator of single-family rental homes in the U.S. Sun Belt and multi-family rental apartments in Canada, announced today its consolidated financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023.


All financial information is presented in U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated.

The Company’s operational and financial highlights of the quarter include:

  • Net income from continuing operations decreased by $97.7 million year-over-year from the $178.8 million earned in Q3 2022 (which included $99.9 million of performance fees earned from the sale of Tricon’s remaining 20% equity interest in the U.S. multi-family rental portfolio) to $81.1 million in the current period. Correspondingly, basic earnings per share from continuing operations decreased to $0.29 compared to $0.65 per share in Q3 2022; and diluted earnings per share from continuing operations decreased to $0.18 compared to $0.49 per share in Q3 2022;
  • Core funds from operations (“Core FFO”) was $42.7 million and Core FFO per share was $0.14 in Q3 2023, a decrease of 7.9% and 6.7% year-over-year, respectively. Net Operating Income (“NOI”) growth of 8.6% was offset by higher borrowing costs, the loss of Core FFO from the U.S. multi-family rental portfolio sold in Q4 2022 and lower performance fees;1
  • Same home NOI growth for the single-family rental portfolio in Q3 2023 was 6.0% year-over-year and same home NOI margin was 68.5%. Same home operating metrics remained consistently strong, including occupancy of 97.4%, annualized turnover of 18.8% and blended rent growth of 6.8% (comprised of new lease rent growth of 6.9% and renewal rent growth of 6.7%);1
  • In response to strong resident demand for rental homes across its Sun Belt markets, the Company acquired 410 homes during the quarter at an average price of $310,000 per home (including up-front renovations) for a total acquisition cost of $127 million, of which Tricon’s proportionate share was $102 million;
  • Positive rent trends continued into the fourth quarter, with same home rent growth of 6.8% in October 2023, including 6.6% growth on new leases and 6.8% growth on renewals, while same home occupancy was 97.1% and same home turnover was at 19.4%; and
  • Tricon has continued to make progress in its Global Real Estate Sustainability Benchmark (GRESB) ratings, marking a 7% increase compared to 2022 and a 29% improvement from its inaugural submission in 2021. The ratings improvement underscores Tricon’s commitment to sustainable business practices, environmental stewardship, and focus on resident and employee well-being.

“The operating fundamentals of our single-family rental business remain consistently strong with near-full occupancy, low turnover, and healthy same home NOI growth of 6.0% delivered in the third quarter. Our U.S. residential development business and our newly-launched Canadian multi-family properties are also performing well above our expectations. Underpinning these results is a persistent shortage of housing supply across North America, and a commitment by Tricon to be part of the housing solution,” said Gary Berman, President & CEO of Tricon. “That being said, responding to the strong demand for rental housing and growing our portfolio is challenging in the current capital markets environment. As interest rates have continued to press higher in recent weeks, we have reduced our acquisition pace further, buying 410 homes in Q3 and lowering our target to roughly 250 homes in Q4. These acquisitions are largely being funded by our capital recycling program where we replace older, non-core homes with newer vintage properties. Notwithstanding slower external growth, we are pleased to report that we have substantially completed the investment programs for SFR JV-2 and SFR JV-HD and are gearing up to launch SFR JV-3. We remain encouraged by the performance of our existing portfolio and our cost containment efforts which should enable us to finish the year largely in line with our prior expectations for Core FFO per share.”

Financial Highlights

 

For the periods ended September 30

Three months

 

Nine months

(in thousands of U.S. dollars, except per share amounts which are in U.S. dollars, unless otherwise indicated)

2023

2022

 

 

2023

2022

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial highlights on a consolidated basis

 

 

 

 

 

Net income from continuing operations, including:

$

81,125

$

178,786

 

 

$

157,294

$

723,491

Fair value gain on rental properties

 

73,261

 

107,166

 

 

 

208,907

 

802,573

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic earnings per share attributable to shareholders of Tricon from continuing operations

 

0.29

 

0.65

 

 

 

0.56

 

2.63

Diluted earnings per share attributable to shareholders of Tricon from continuing operations

 

0.18

 

0.49

 

 

 

0.48

 

1.87

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income from discontinued operations

 

 

(2,335

)

 

 

 

33,277

Basic earnings (loss) per share attributable to shareholders of Tricon from discontinued operations

 

 

(0.01

)

 

 

 

0.12

Diluted earnings (loss) per share attributable to shareholders of Tricon from discontinued operations

 

 

(0.01

)

 

 

 

0.11

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dividends per share

$

0.058

$

0.058

 

 

$

0.174

$

0.174

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares outstanding – basic

 

273,810,276

 

274,710,065

 

 

 

273,738,512

 

274,474,675

Weighted average shares outstanding – diluted

 

310,497,125

 

311,910,445

 

 

 

310,341,448

 

312,023,897

 

 

 

 

 

 

Non-IFRS(1) measures on a proportionate basis

 

 

 

 

 

Core funds from operations (“Core FFO”)

$

42,737

$

46,403

 

 

$

126,946

$

140,447

Adjusted funds from operations (“AFFO”)

 

34,143

 

35,182

 

 

 

100,951

 

109,570

 

 

 

 

 

 

Core FFO per share(2)

 

0.14

 

0.15

 

 

 

0.41

 

0.45

AFFO per share(2)

 

0.11

 

0.11

 

 

 

0.33

 

0.35

 

 

 

 

 

 

(1) Non-IFRS measures are presented to illustrate alternative relevant measures to assess the Company’s performance. For the basis of presentation of the Company’s non-IFRS measures and reconciliations, refer to the “Non-IFRS Measures” section and Appendix A. For definitions of the Company’s non-IFRS measures, refer to Section 6 of Tricon’s MD&A.

(2) Core FFO per share and AFFO per share are calculated using the total number of weighted average potential dilutive shares outstanding, including the assumed exchange of preferred units issued by Tricon PIPE LLC, which were 310,497,125 and 310,341,448, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, and 311,910,445 and 312,023,897, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively.

Net income from continuing operations in the third quarter of 2023 was $81.1 million compared to $178.8 million in the third quarter of 2022, and included:

  • Fair value gain on rental properties of $73.3 million compared to $107.2 million in the third quarter of 2022, attributable to a moderation in home price appreciation within the single-family rental portfolio. This moderation is attributed to persistently higher mortgage rates and ongoing economic uncertainty which have introduced a level of caution for homebuyers.
  • Revenue from single-family rental properties of $202.6 million compared to $170.8 million in the third quarter of 2022, driven primarily by growth of 5.0% in the single-family rental portfolio to 37,024 homes, a 6.1% year-over-year increase in average effective monthly rent (from $1,755 to $1,862) and a 3.6% increase in total portfolio occupancy to 94.5%.
  • Direct operating expenses of $67.3 million compared to $54.5 million in the third quarter of 2022, primarily reflecting an expansion in the rental portfolio and higher property tax expenses associated with increasing property value assessments, as well as general cost and labor market inflationary pressures.
  • Revenue from strategic capital services (previously reported as Revenue from private funds and advisory services) of $9.0 million compared to $112.5 million in the third quarter of 2022. The comparative period included $99.9 million of performance fees earned from the sale of Tricon’s remaining 20% equity interest in the U.S. multi-family rental portfolio in the third quarter of 2022, along with asset management and property management fees earned from the portfolio, which the Company no longer earns following the divestiture.

Net income from continuing operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 was $157.3 million compared to $723.5 million for the period ended September 30, 2022, and included:

  • Fair value gain on rental properties of $208.9 million compared to $802.6 million in the prior year for the same reasons discussed above.
  • Revenue from single-family rental properties of $588.5 million and direct operating expenses of $194.4 million compared to $464.7 million and $150.7 million in the prior year, respectively, which translated to a net operating income (“NOI”) increase of $80.2 million, attributable to the continued expansion of the single-family rental portfolio and strong rent growth.
  • Revenue from strategic capital services of $34.8 million compared to $145.3 million in the prior year, primarily attributable to $99.9 million of performance fees earned from the sale of Tricon’s remaining 20% equity interest in the U.S. multi-family rental portfolio in the third quarter of 2022. In addition, the current period saw lower performance fees earned from Tricon’s legacy for-sale housing projects, which were partially offset by higher Johnson development fees from large commercial land bulk sales in the first quarter of 2023.

Core FFO for the third quarter of 2023 was $42.7 million, a decrease of $3.7 million or 8% compared to $46.4 million in the third quarter of 2022. The change was driven by higher borrowing costs incurred to support the expansion of the SFR portfolio, a loss of NOI and fee income from the disposition of the U.S. multi-family rental portfolio, and lower acquisition fees associated with acquiring fewer SFR homes. These items were partially offset by NOI growth in the SFR business and stronger results from U.S. residential developments. During the nine months ended September 30, 2023, Core FFO decreased by $13.5 million or 10% to $126.9 million compared to $140.4 million in the prior period, for the reasons noted above, along with lower performance fees.

AFFO for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 was $34.1 million and $101.0 million, respectively, a decrease of $1.0 million (3%) and $8.6 million (8%) from the same periods in the prior year. This change in AFFO was driven by the decrease in Core FFO discussed above, partially offset by lower recurring capital expenditures as a result of disciplined cost containment and scoping refinement when turning homes and the absence of recurring capital expenditures from the U.S. multi-family rental portfolio following its sale.

Single-Family Rental Operating Highlights

The measures presented in the table below and throughout this press release are on a proportionate basis, reflecting only the portion attributable to Tricon’s shareholders based on the Company’s ownership percentage of the underlying entities and excludes the percentage associated with non-controlling and limited partners’ interests, unless otherwise stated. A list of these measures, together with a description of the information each measure reflects and the reasons why management believes the measure to be useful or relevant in evaluating the underlying performance of the Company’s businesses, is set out in Section 6 of Tricon’s MD&A.

For the periods ended September 30

Three months

 

Nine months

(in thousands of U.S. dollars, except percentages and homes)

 

2023

 

 

2022

 

 

 

2023

 

 

2022

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total rental homes managed

 

 

 

 

37,478

 

 

35,545

 

Total proportionate net operating income (NOI)(1)

$

77,438

 

$

71,321

 

 

$

229,238

 

$

201,799

 

Total proportionate net operating income (NOI) growth(1)

 

8.6

%

 

26.0

%

 

 

13.6

%

 

24.3

%

Same home net operating income (NOI) margin(1)

 

68.5

%

 

68.8

%

 

 

68.7

%

 

68.7

%

Same home net operating income (NOI) growth(1)

 

6.0

%

 

N/A

 

 

 

6.1

%

 

N/A

 

Same home occupancy

 

97.4

%

 

97.6

%

 

 

97.4

%

 

97.8

%

Same home annualized turnover

 

18.8

%

 

20.0

%

 

 

17.9

%

 

18.4

%

Same home average quarterly rent growth – renewal

 

6.7

%

 

6.6

%

 

 

6.6

%

 

6.4

%

Same home average quarterly rent growth – new move-in

 

6.9

%

 

15.1

%

 

 

8.9

%

 

16.7

%

Same home average quarterly rent growth – blended

 

6.8

%

 

8.3

%

 

 

7.1

%

 

8.4

%

(1) Non-IFRS measures are presented to illustrate alternative relevant measures to assess the Company’s performance. For the basis of presentation of the Company’s non-IFRS measures and reconciliations, refer to the “Non-IFRS Measures” section and Appendix A. For definitions of the Company’s non-IFRS measures, refer to Section 6 of Tricon’s MD&A.

Single-family rental NOI was $77.4 million for the third quarter of 2023, an increase of $6.1 million or 8.6% compared to the same period in 2022. The growth in NOI was primarily attributable to a $10.7 million or 10.7% increase in rental revenues as a result of a 5.9% increase in the average monthly rent ($1,815 in Q3 2023 compared to $1,714 in Q3 2022) and 2.2% portfolio growth (Tricon’s proportionate share of rental homes was 21,840 in Q3 2023 compared to 21,372 in Q3 2022), and a 0.5% increase in occupancy (94.5% in Q3 2023 compared to 94.0% in Q3 2022). This favorable growth in rental revenue was partially offset by a $4.9 million or 14.4% increase in direct operating expenses reflecting incremental costs associated with a larger portfolio of homes, higher property taxes from increased assessed property values, elevated property management costs reflecting a tighter labor market, increased homeowners’ association (HOA) dues and higher other direct costs associated with smart-home technology and higher utility rates.

Single-family rental same home NOI growth was 6.0% in the third quarter of 2023, compared to the same period last year. This favorable change was driven by a 6.5% increase in revenue from rental properties as a result of a 6.0% higher average monthly rent ($1,758 in Q3 2023 compared to $1,658 in Q3 2022), and an improvement in bad debt (0.9% in Q3 2023 compared to 1.4% in Q3 2022), partially offset by slightly lower occupancy (97.4% in Q3 2023 compared to 97.6% in Q3 2022). Same home operating expense increased by 7.5%, attributable primarily to a 10.5% increase in property taxes, partially offset by lower turnover expense and proactive cost containment in property management, repair and maintenance expenses.

Single-Family Rental Investment Activity

The Company expanded its single-family rental portfolio during the quarter by acquiring 410 homes (299 wholly-owned homes for $90.2 million and 111 homes owned through joint ventures for $36.8 million), bringing its total managed portfolio to 37,478 homes. The homes were purchased at an average cost per home of $310,000, including up-front renovations, for a total acquisition cost of $127 million, of which Tricon’s share was approximately $102 million.

During the quarter, Tricon also disposed of 175 homes for a total of $63.0 million (169 wholly-owned homes for $61.3 million and six homes owned through joint ventures for $1.7 million) at an average price of $360,000 per home. Tricon’s proportionate share of dispositions was approximately $61.8 million. Tricon expects to continue disposing of non-core homes as a means of recycling capital towards the acquisition of newer homes in its core markets.

Adjacent Residential Businesses Highlights

Quarterly highlights of the Company’s adjacent residential businesses include:

  • In the Canadian multi-family business, The Selby’s occupancy remained stable at 98.5%, and annualized turnover improved to 30.4% compared to 39.2% during the same period in the prior year. Blended rent growth was 11.2% during the quarter, driven by healthy new-lease and renewal rent growth as the number of leases with pandemic-era rents at the property continue to diminish.
  • In Tricon’s Canadian residential development portfolio, The Taylor achieved a stabilized physical occupancy of 98.3% as at September 30, 2023 at an average monthly rent of C$4.63 per square foot. Maple House at Canary Landing welcomed its first residents to the 770-unit mixed-use rental community during the quarter, with 20% of the building already pre-leased, driven by strong market unit demand and an oversubscribed affordable housing lottery.
  • Tricon’s investments in U.S. residential developments generated $5.5 million of distributions to the Company in Q3 2023.

Change in Net Assets

Tricon’s net assets were $3.9 billion as at September 30, 2023, an increase of $62 million compared to $3.8 billion as at June 30, 2023. Tricon’s book value (net assets) per common share outstanding increased by 1% sequentially or 4% year-over-year to $14.30 (C$19.33) as at September 30, 2023.

Balance Sheet and Liquidity

Tricon’s liquidity consists of a $500 million corporate credit facility with approximately $350 million of undrawn capacity as at September 30, 2023. The Company also had approximately $173 million of unrestricted cash on hand, resulting in total liquidity of $523 million.

As at September 30, 2023, Tricon’s pro-rata net debt (excluding exchangeable instruments) was $2.9 billion, reflecting a pro-rata net debt to assets ratio of 36.3%. For the three months ended September 30, 2023, Tricon’s pro-rata net debt to Adjusted EBITDAre ratio was 8.2x.2

2023 Guidance Update

The Company updated its guidance for the current fiscal year, including reiterating the midpoint of Core FFO per share guidance and tightening the range of expected same home metrics. The Company also updated its acquisitions guidance to reflect a smaller number of homes to be acquired in 2023 but with a similar equity contribution as previously expected. Subsequent to quarter end, the Company substantially completed the investment programs of SFR JV-2 and SFR JV-HD with lower leverage parameters, and continues to acquire homes at a moderated pace as part of its capital recycling program.

For the year ended

December 31

Current

2023 Guidance

Previous

2023 Guidance

Update Drivers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Core FFO per share

$0.55

$0.58

 

$0.55

$0.58

Reiterating prior guidance to reflect tightening of same home NOI expectations, coupled with continued strength in U.S. residential development business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Same home revenue growth

6.0%

6.5%

 

6.0%

7.0%

Tightening of prior guidance range to reflect:

 

  • Softer rent growth on new move-ins as turnover skews towards residents with shorter tenure, partly offset by a gradual increase in rent growth on renewals

 

  • Potential for elevated property tax expense, offset by successful reduction of controllable expenses, including property management, repairs, maintenance and turnover expenses

Same home expense growth

6.0%

6.5%

 

6.0%

7.0%

Same home NOI growth

6.0%

6.5%

 

6.0%

7.0%

Single-family rental acquisitions (homes)(1)

~1,850

 

~2,000

Slower pace of acquisitions to allow for completion of SFR JV-2 and SFR JV-HD investment programs with lower leverage parameters, and focus on acquisitions funded by non-core dispositions as part of a capital recycling program

Single-family rental acquisitions ($ in billions)(1)

~$0.6

 

~$0.7

(1) Single-family rental acquisition costs include initial purchase price, closing costs and up-front renovation costs. These acquisition home counts and costs are presented on a consolidated basis and Tricon’s share represents approximately 30%.

Note: Non-IFRS measures are presented to illustrate alternative relevant measures to assess the Company’s performance. Refer to the “Non-IFRS Measures” section and Section 6 of the Company’s MD&A for definitions. See also the “Forward-Looking Information” section of this press release, as the figures presented above are considered to be “financial outlook” for purposes of applicable securities laws and may not be appropriate for purposes other than to understand management’s current expectations relating to the future of the Company. The reader is cautioned that this information is forward-looking and actual results may vary materially from those reported. Although the Company believes that its anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements and information are based upon reasonable assumptions and expectations, the reader should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and information. The Company reviews its key assumptions regularly and may change its outlook on a going-forward basis if necessary.

Quarterly Dividend

On November 7, 2023, the Board of Directors of the Company declared a dividend of $0.058 per common share in U.S. dollars payable on or after January 15, 2024 to shareholders of record on December 31, 2023.

Tricon’s dividends are designated as eligible dividends for Canadian tax purposes in accordance with subsection 89(14) of the Income Tax Act (Canada), and any applicable corresponding provincial and territorial legislation. Tricon has a Dividend Reinvestment Plan (“DRIP”) which allows eligible shareholders of the Company to reinvest their cash dividends in additional common shares of the Company. Common shares issued pursuant to the DRIP in connection with the announced dividend will be issued from treasury at a 1% discount from the market price, as defined in the DRIP. Participation in the DRIP is optional and shareholders who do not participate in the plan will continue to receive cash dividends. A complete copy of the DRIP is available in the Investors section of Tricon’s website at www.triconresidential.com.

Conference Call and Webcast

Management will host a conference call at 11 a.m. ET on Wednesday, November 8, 2023 to discuss the Company’s results. Please call (888) 550-5422 or (646) 960-0676 (Conference ID #3699415). The conference call will also be accessible via webcast at www.triconresidential.com (Investors – News & Events). A replay of the call will be available from 2 p.m. ET on November 8, 2023 until midnight ET, on December 8, 2023. To access the replay, call (800) 770-2030 or (647) 362-9199, followed by Conference ID #3699415.

This press release should be read in conjunction with the Company’s Interim Financial Statements and Management’s Discussion and Analysis (the “MD&A”) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, which are available on Tricon’s website at www.triconresidential.com and have been filed on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) as well as with the SEC as part of the Company’s annual report filed on Form 40-F. The financial information therein is presented in U.S. dollars. Shareholders have the ability to receive a hard copy of the complete audited Financial Statements free of charge upon request.

The Company has also made available on its website supplemental information for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023. For more information, visit www.triconresidential.com.

About Tricon Residential Inc.

Tricon Residential Inc. (NYSE: TCN, TSX: TCN) is an owner and operator of a growing portfolio of approximately 38,000 single-family rental homes in the U.S. Sun Belt and multi-family apartments in Canada. Our commitment to enriching the lives of our employees, residents and local communities underpins Tricon’s culture and business philosophy. We provide high-quality rental housing options for families across the United States and Canada through our technology-enabled operating platform and dedicated on-the-ground operating teams. Our development programs are also delivering thousands of new rental homes and apartments as part of our commitment to help solve the housing supply shortage.

Contacts

For further information:

Wissam Francis

EVP & Chief Financial Officer

Wojtek Nowak

Managing Director, Capital Markets

Email: [email protected]

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