DUBLIN–(BUSINESS WIRE)–The “The Central and Eastern Europe Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2019 – 2024” report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com’s offering.
Mobile service revenue will account for 67% of the total telecoms service revenue in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) in 2024. 5G revenue is expected to account for around 41% of the total mobile service revenue by 2024. Fixed broadband and specialist business service revenue will be crucial for revenue growth in the fixed segment.
Both revenue streams will increase at a similar CAGR of 2.6% between 2018 and 2024. Fixed network operators will be looking for opportunities to reduce infrastructure costs, and fibre network roll-outs will continue across the region.
This Report and Associated Data Annex Provide:
- a 5-year forecast of more than 330 mobile and fixed KPIs for CEE, as a whole and for 16 key countries
- an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for the key countries
- an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
- a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators.
Forecasts are informed by on-the-ground regional market experts from topic-led research programmes and the consulting division, as well as external interviews. In addition to the robust set of historical data, the forecasts draw on a unique and in-house modelling tool, which applies a rigorous methodology (reconciliation of different sources, standard definitions, top-down and bottom-up modelling).
Geographical coverage
Region modelled
- Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
Key performance indicators
Connections
Mobile
- Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
- Prepaid, contract
- 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
- Smartphone,
- non-smartphone
Fixed
- Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
- Narrowband voice, VoBB
- DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, 5G, other
Fixed and mobile voice traffic
- Outgoing minutes, MoU
Revenue
Mobile
- Service, retail
- Prepaid, contract
- Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
- Handset voice, messaging, data
Fixed
- Service, retail
- Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, business services
- DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Mobile ARPU
- SIMs, handset
- Prepaid, contract
- Handset voice, data
Key Topics Covered:
Executive summary and recommendations
- Telecoms service revenue growth will be driven by the demand for data and the monetisation of network investments
- The rate of telecoms retail revenue growth mainly depends on LTE network expansions, NGA network investments and fixed broadband service takeup
- Geographical coverage: the share of NGA connections will increase to 84%, and the 4G/5G share of mobile connections will exceed 85% in 2024
- Key trends, drivers and assumptions for the mobile and fixed markets
- Key recommendations for telecoms operators
- Regional forecasts and cross-country comparison
- Market context: the pace of economic growth may start to fall in CEE
- Key mergers, acquisitions and market entries
- Key drivers at a glance for each Central and Eastern Europe market
Market overview: fixed broadband and mobile handset data services will remain the largest areas for revenue growth
- Mobile: the total number of mobile connections will decline by 2024 due to market saturation and migration from multi-SIM prepaid plans to contract services
- Mobile: penetration in CEE will plateau, mainly due to market saturation
- Mobile: mobile ARPU will increase in CEE, stimulated by LTE expansions and the associated increase in data usage
- Mobile: the outlook for mobile ARPU and handset revenue is positive thanks to increasing LTE-A coverage and the growing adoption of contract subscriptions
- Fixed: over 60% of households in CEE will have an active NGA broadband connection in 2024
- Fixed: NGA network roll-outs and attractive bundled offers will support broadband household penetration growth across the region
- Fixed: increasing broadband household penetration and NGA service takeup will help operators to maintain reasonably stable ASPU levels
- Fixed: the increasing coverage of high-speed broadband networks will help operators to maintain broadband revenue growth
- Specialist business services: operators’ business services revenue growth will slow down towards the end of the forecast
- IoT: the largest share of IoT revenue in CEE will come from the automotive sector
- Pay TV: traditional services will account for the majority of pay-TV revenue growth in CEE, but operator OTT revenue will grow rapidly, while that from DTH declines
Individual country forecasts
- Czech Republic: the expected entry of a fourth mobile player will cause mobile revenue to decline slightly from 2022 onwards
- Czech Republic: fixed-wireless will remain the most popular fixed broadband technology, but the number of fibre subscribers will grow rapidly
- Czech Republic: the mobile market is relatively uncompetitive but this is likely to change following the introduction of a new mobile operator
- Czech Republic: forecast changes
- Poland: fixed broadband revenue will increase, but the total market revenue growth will be limited by strong competition in the mobile segment
- Poland: operators’ investments in NGA networks will slow down towards the end of the forecast period
- Poland: investments in infrastructure will allow operators to maintain ASPUlevels despite the high competitive pressure
- Poland: forecast changes
- Russia: strong revenue growth from mobile connectivity and fixed broadband will help to offset declining revenue from legacy services
- Russia: the NGA share of all broadband connections will reach 95% by 2024
- Russia: mobile and broadband revenue will grow modestly due to enhancements in service quality and favourable macroeconomic conditions
- Russia: forecast changes
- Turkey: mobile data usage will be the major driver of revenue growth, followed by broadband services
- Turkey: the high mobile ASPU will be maintained due to growth in the take up of mobile data services
- Turkey: increasing fibre household penetration and expanding LTE network coverage will help to maintain the high broadband and mobile ASPU
- Turkey: forecast changes
Methodology
- The forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
- Examples of forecast input drivers
For more information about this report visit https://www.researchandmarkets.com/r/5rgaea
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